Belarus Climate – July 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Minsk, Gomel, Mogilev, Vitebsk, and Grodno
Summary
Belarus recorded moderate heat through the middle of summer, even as planet-wide land warmth reached near-record levels. While the national temperature sat 0.8°C above the historical baseline, global land temperatures registered their 3rd warmest July in 87 years of records. The broader three-month spell brought more pronounced warmth to the country, with seasonal conditions expected to stay elevated through late summer.
This month in numbers
Belarus registered an average temperature of 18.23°C in July 2026, which sits 0.8°C above the 1961-1990 baseline and ranks 45th out of 87 years on record. Across the broader May to July season, the national average reached 16.89°C (+1.2°C anomaly), placing 23rd overall. Globally, land temperatures reached 15.8°C (+1.6°C anomaly) for the month, ranking as the 3rd highest reading on record. For May to July as a whole, the global land temperature reached 14.34°C (+1.5°C anomaly), making it the 2nd warmest such stretch ever recorded.
What changed
The mild summer readings follow a variable start to the year in Eastern Europe. A cold February gave way to a remarkably warm March that ran 6.8°C above normal, before seasonal conditions settled into a warmer pattern by June with a +1.9°C anomaly. Over the recent three-month window, Belarus ranked 154th out of 232 tracked regions globally for temperature anomaly, sitting well below the extreme heat spikes recorded across Western Europe. Looking at the long-term context, the country has warmed by 2.29°C against its 1961-1990 baseline, with 2025 ranking as its 6th warmest year on record at an average of 8.51°C.
What’s driving change?
The steady long-term warming in Eastern Europe reflects fundamental global climate mechanisms, particularly dynamics that cause interior continental regions to heat far quicker than coastal areas. In addition, frequently alter weather patterns over continental Europe, allowing stagnant high-pressure systems to pull warm air northward during the summer months. These atmospheric patterns reinforce seasonal shifts that have consistently elevated summer and shoulder-season temperatures across the region in recent decades.
Looking ahead
Seasonal forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate that temperatures are likely to remain above the climate average with a slight precipitation deficit across most of Belarus through late summer.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Climate Map – Global
Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance (countries & continents) · Met Office (UK) · US states & climate regions. Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.
Typical Climate – Belarus
Köppen Dfb · ContinentalBelarus has a continental climate (Köppen Dfb: Humid continental - warm summer), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 19.3°C, while January is the coldest at -3.0°C. Annual precipitation averages around 674mm, spread fairly evenly across the year.
Monthly climate normals (2016–2025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Long-Term Trends
Combined Timeline – Belarus
Right axis: everything else standardized to standard deviations (σ) from its own average, since mm/hours/days aren't directly comparable to °C or to each other.
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Heatwave Days – Belarus
Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI heatwave measure: days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.
Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Belarus
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Monthly Temperature – Belarus
Background lines show the last 40 years (plus the record year and its opposite, wherever they fall).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Records – Belarus
Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm / cold seasonsKöppen Dfb · ContinentalHow spring and autumn have shifted in Belarus. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (5.7°C, from 1940–1969); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 26.1°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.
Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Mar (+5.3°C).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Belarus
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
Country-level temperature anomaly, sourced from Copernicus ERA5 and Hadley HadCRUT5.
Annual country and global CO₂ emissions, from the Global Carbon Project.
Monthly rainfall - Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (DWD) preferred, World Bank CCKP/CRU TS fallback where GPCC lacks direct coverage.
Frost Days and Heatwave Days (Warm Spell Duration Index), ERA5-derived. World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
Monthly snow water-equivalent, Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (DWD).
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Belarus changing?
Belarus is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
What is the climate like in Belarus?
Belarus has a continental climate (Köppen Dfb: Humid continental - warm summer), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 19.3°C, while January is the coldest at -3.0°C. Annual precipitation averages around 674mm, spread fairly evenly across the year.
Where does the climate data for Belarus come from?
Climate data for Belarus comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Belarus climate data cover?
The Belarus climate profile covers Minsk, Gomel, Mogilev, Vitebsk and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Belarus
How often is the Belarus climate update refreshed?
The Belarus climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.
What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Belarus climate page?
Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.
Does the Belarus climate page include frost and snow data?
Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.