Bahamas Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Nassau, Freeport, West End, Cooper's Town, and Marsh Harbour
This month in numbers
June 2026 saw the Bahamas record its 8th warmest June on record, with an average temperature of 27.58°C, an anomaly of +0.9°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C.
What changed
The period of April to June 2026 was the 6th warmest such period on record for the Bahamas, with an average temperature of 26.31°C, an anomaly of +1°C. This continues a trend of warmer-than-average conditions, with 2025 being the 2nd warmest year on record for the Bahamas. The long-term trend for the region shows a warming of +0.95°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline.
What’s driving change?
The elevated temperatures in the Bahamas are consistent with the broader global warming trend, with land warming faster than ocean. The current El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phase is also contributing to drier conditions and increased heat in the region. In June 2026, the Ministry of Health and Wellness and the Department of Meteorology issued a heat health bulletin, warning of heat index values between 102 and 110 degrees Fahrenheit across several northern and northwestern islands, including New Providence, Grand Bahama, and Andros. This early onset of summer-level heat stress has also been linked to power outages in early June due to strain on the electricity grid.
Looking ahead
The Bahamian Department of Meteorology forecasts a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with approximately 11 named storms and between one and three hurricanes expected, largely due to the effects of El Niño. However, residents are urged to remain vigilant as warm sea temperatures can still propel hurricane formation.
Sources:
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Bahamas
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Bahamas – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Bahamas
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Aw · TropicalBahamas has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±2.7°C) and a wet/dry cycle (5× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Aug (+34 mm, +35%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Bahamas
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Bahamas changing?
Bahamas is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Bahamas come from?
Climate data for Bahamas comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Bahamas climate data cover?
The Bahamas climate profile covers Nassau, Freeport, West End, Cooper's Town and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Bahamas
How often is the Bahamas climate update refreshed?
The Bahamas climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.