Bahamas Climate
Top 5 Cities: Nassau, Freeport, West End, Cooper's Town, and Marsh Harbour
This month in numbers
The Bahamas experienced its 20th warmest April on record, with an average temperature of 24.69°C, an anomaly of +0.7°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. The period of February to April 2026 ranked as the 11th warmest on record, with an average temperature of 24.22°C, an anomaly of +1.1°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C. The global land temperature for February to April 2026 also ranked as the 2nd warmest on record, with an anomaly of +1.2°C.
What changed
The Bahamas has seen a trend of warmer temperatures, with the latest three-month period (February–April 2026) being significantly warmer than average. This aligns with a broader regional and global warming trend. The country's 12-month rolling anomaly places it 200th out of 234 regions for warmth, indicating that while it is experiencing warmer conditions, other regions globally are warming at a more rapid pace.
What’s driving change?
The continued unusual warmth in the Tropical North Atlantic Ocean is a key factor contributing to higher air temperatures and humidity in the region. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with an anomaly of +0.11°C for February-April 2026, though there is a possibility of El Niño conditions developing in the coming months. The Bahamas also experienced significant rainfall and a flood threat in early April due to an eastward-moving mid to upper-level disturbance and a surface trough, which brought atmospheric instability and substantial showers to the area. Short-term drought conditions were also noted as possibly developing or continuing in the northwest Bahamas by the end of April 2026. Wildfire activity has also been observed, with 100 high-confidence fire alerts reported between April 2025 and April 2026, which is considered normal compared to previous years.
Looking ahead
Forecasts for April to June suggest that rainfall totals are likely to be usual or higher in The Bahamas, but the Caribbean Heat Season is expected to bring heatwaves as early as April, gradually increasing in intensity.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Bahamas
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Bahamas changing?
Bahamas is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Bahamas come from?
Climate data for Bahamas comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Bahamas climate data cover?
The Bahamas climate profile covers Nassau, Freeport, West End, Cooper's Town and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Bahamas
How often is the Bahamas climate update refreshed?
The Bahamas climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.