4 Billion Years On

Australia Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth, and Adelaide

This month in numbers

Australia recorded an average temperature of 14.81°C in June 2026, which was 0.2°C cooler than the 1961–1990 baseline. This ranked as the 59th warmest June in 86 years of records. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C above the 1961–1990 baseline.

What changed

The three-month period from April to June 2026 saw an average temperature of 18.63°C, 0.2°C above the baseline, ranking as the 37th warmest such period on record. Australia's latest monthly anomaly places it as the 218th coolest out of 234 regions globally, indicating a relatively cooler month compared to many other parts of the world. The country's three-month anomaly also places it among the cooler regions, at 227th out of 234.

What’s driving change?

The current climate in Australia is significantly influenced by a weak El Niño event, which has been officially declared and is expected to persist into the summer months of 2026-27. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to eastern Australia, increasing the risk of drought, heatwaves, and bushfires. Indeed, Australia has experienced a notable concentration of wildfire events recently, with 18 recorded between 24 June and 9 July 2026, representing 100% of the annual total for the past 12 months, an unusual concentration for the season. This aligns with the typical impacts of El Niño, which can amplify the risk of bushfires. You can track active extreme weather events at Extreme Weather tracker and the ongoing ENSO state at ENSO.

Looking ahead

Forecasts for July to September suggest that rainfall is likely to be below average across parts of southern and eastern Australia, while temperatures are likely to be above average in most areas, except for parts of the north.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Australia
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
14.8°C· 59th
-0.2°C
15.0°C· 2nd
+1.0°C
Record
17.1°C (1997)
15.1°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
18.6°C· 37th
+0.2°C
15.0°C· 2nd
+1.0°C
Record
20.1°C (1959)
15.1°C (2024)
2025
22.8°C· 3rd
+1.0°C
15.0°C· 3rd
+1.0°C
Record
23.1°C (2020)
15.2°C (2024)
Baseline: 1961–1990 mean · Anomaly = difference from baseline · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Australia

1941202619611990 baselineColdest (1975)20162025 meanWarmest (2020)2026 so far
2026Jun
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start~0 days1901-302016-25Wet End−11 days15°20°25°30°
Temp
23.7°C
+1.9 vs base
Rainfall
mm
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Australia – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872020 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Australia

Warmest year
2020
23.1°C
Coldest year
1975
20.6°C
2026 so far
#5/86
23.7°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen BSh · Arid

Australia has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±6.8°C) and a wet/dry cycle (4× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
8 days longer
Warm season
1941–1970 baseline: 5 Oct → 20 Apr · 197 days
2016–2025 now: 29 Sept → 21 Apr · 205 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 6 days earlierAut 1 day later
Shifting wet season
11 days shorter
Wet season
1941–1970 baseline: 24 Dec → 9 Apr · 106 days
2016–2025 now: 24 Dec → 29 Mar · 95 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 0 days laterEnd 10 days earlier
+5.6% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
24 Dec24 Dec
0 days later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
9 Apr29 Mar
11 days earlier
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JanJan
unchanged
Wet months: 44

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Jan (+10 mm, +14%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Australia
n/a
n/a· n/a
n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
n/a
Record
n/a
2024
550 mm· 11th
+97 mm
Record
714 mm (1974)

Baseline: 1961–1990 mean. Anomaly: difference from that baseline. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Climate Systems

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Emissions & Energy

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Data Sources

Data Sources for Australia

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Australia changing?

Australia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Australia come from?

Climate data for Australia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Australia climate data cover?

The Australia climate profile covers Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth and surrounding areas. Bushfires, reef bleaching and record temperatures

How often is the Australia climate update refreshed?

The Australia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.