4 Billion Years On

Armenia Climate – July 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Yerevan, Gyumri, Vanadzor, Vagharshapat, and Abovyan

August update · ~12–15 September

Summary

Armenia experienced a warmer than average midsummer, with persistent warmth across mountain valleys and lowlands lifting the monthly temperature above long-term norms. While temperatures reached well into the thirties in the Ararat Valley, the country avoided the extreme heatwaves seen elsewhere across Europe, recording a comfortably warm month overall. Warmth is expected to persist across the region heading into late summer.

This month in numbers

Armenia registered an average temperature of 19.14°C during July, which is 1.5°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. That made it the 12th warmest July on record in a dataset extending back to 1940, well below the all-time peak of 20.88°C set in 2018. Globally, land temperatures ran significantly hotter, with the month ranking as the 3rd warmest July on record worldwide at 1.6°C above average.

What changed

Looking at the broader season, May to July 2026 averaged 14.89°C in Armenia, standing 0.9°C above the historical baseline and ranking as the 24th warmest such three-month period on record. Globally, the same season was the 2nd warmest ever recorded. On a national scale, Armenia's warming continues a steady trajectory: 2025 was the country's 4th warmest full year on record with an average of 7.99°C, contributing to a total long-term warming trend of +1.75°C since the 1961–1990 baseline.

What’s driving change?

Armenia's climatic shifts are heavily influenced by its high-altitude topography, where accelerates temperature increases in mountainous areas faster than surrounding lowlands as snow cover decreases. Furthermore, because , continental landmasses across Eurasia experience more pronounced baseline warming during summer months. Occasional intrusions of tropical air from the south periodically pushed regional daytime highs into the mid-thirties in low-lying valleys.

Looking ahead

Seasonal outlooks suggest that temperatures across Armenia will remain moderately above historical averages through late summer, with precipitation expected to track close to seasonal norms across most provinces.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Armenia
Global
Land + Ocean
LatestAug
+1.6°C· 20th
18.9°C
Due ~5–25 Sep
Jul
+1.6°C· 12th
19.1°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
17.0°C
Record
20.9°C (2018)
17.0°C (2024)
May–Jul
+0.9°C· 24th
14.9°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.5°C
Record
16.9°C (2021)
16.5°C (2024)
2025
+2.3°C· 4th
8.0°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
8.6°C (2010)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs your selected baseline (falls back to the 1961–1990 mean for a column without enough history for it) · Small figure: the actual value · Record = value on record for the ranking above

Climate Map – Global

Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance (countries & continents) · Met Office (UK) · US states & climate regions. Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Typical Climate – Armenia

Köppen Dfb · Continental

Armenia has a continental climate (Köppen Dfb: Humid continental - warm summer), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. August is typically the warmest month, averaging 19.1°C, while January is the coldest at -5.2°C. Annual precipitation averages around 507mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Warmest month
Aug 19°C
Coldest month
Jan -5°C
Annual rainfall
432mm
Wettest month
May 86mm
Annual snowfall
75mmwater-equiv.
Snowiest month
Jan 20mm
RainSnow (water-equivalent)

Monthly climate normals (20162025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Combined TimelineArmenia

Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature.

MetricTemperature
10-Yr AverageActual Year

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Heatwave Days – Armenia

Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.

Heatwave days per year2021 (Record)10-yr avg

Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Armenia

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1945)20162025 meanWarmest (2010)2026 so far
2026Aug
WinterSpringSummerAutumnJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1940-692016-25Spr Start−15 days1940-692016-25Aut End+6 days-10°-5°10°15°20°
Temp
8.3°C
+2.5 vs base
Precipitation
333mm
-210 vs base
Frost
days
Playback
8×
Mode
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Monthly TemperatureArmenia

All years since 19452010 (Warmest)1945 (Coldest)2026 (Current Year)Provisional

Latest month is provisional and may be revised by the data provider in the next update cycle.

Background lines show the last 40 years (plus the record year and its opposite, wherever they fall).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Records – Armenia

Latest data Aug 2026
Warmest year
2010
8.6°C
Coldest year
1945
3.8°C
2026 so far
#12/87
8.3°C

Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Dfb · Continental

Armenia has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±12.2°C) and a wet/dry cycle (3× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
22 days Longer
Warm Season
1940–1969 Baseline: 22 Apr → 26 Oct · 187 days
2016–2025 Now: 7 Apr → 1 Nov · 208 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 15 days EarlierAut 6 days Later
Shifting wet season
no change
Wet Season
1891–1920 Baseline: 17 Apr → 13 Sept · 149 days
2016–2025 Now: 7 Apr → 3 Sept · 149 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 10 days EarlierEnd 10 days Earlier
-9.6% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
17 Apr7 Apr
10 days Earlier
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
13 Sept3 Sept
10 days Earlier
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
MayMay
unchanged
Wet months: 44

Monthly precipitation climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Mar (+15 mm, +34%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Armenia

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Armenia changing?

Armenia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

What is the climate like in Armenia?

Armenia has a continental climate (Köppen Dfb: Humid continental - warm summer), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. August is typically the warmest month, averaging 19.1°C, while January is the coldest at -5.2°C. Annual precipitation averages around 507mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Where does the climate data for Armenia come from?

Climate data for Armenia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Armenia climate data cover?

The Armenia climate profile covers Yerevan, Gyumri, Vanadzor, Vagharshapat and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Armenia

How often is the Armenia climate update refreshed?

The Armenia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.

What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Armenia climate page?

Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.

Does the Armenia climate page include frost and snow data?

Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.