4 Billion Years On

Armenia Climate

Top 5 Cities: Yerevan, Gyumri, Vanadzor, Vagharshapat, and Abovyan

April update · ~12–15 May

This month in numbers

Armenia experienced its 20th warmest April on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 6.99°C, marking an anomaly of +1.8°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. The period of February–April 2026 was the 12th warmest on record, with an average temperature of 1.81°C, an anomaly of +2.1°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C, while the February–April 2026 period also ranked as the 2nd warmest globally for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.2°C.

What changed

Armenia's warmer-than-average April follows a significantly warmer March, which was the wettest on record since 1935, with precipitation at 199% of the norm. This contrasts with February 2026, which saw temperatures close to the historical average, and November 2025, which was the second driest and warmest November since records began in 1935. The country's average annual temperature in 2025 was 7.84°C, making it the 4th warmest year in 85 years of records. Armenia's long-term warming trend stands at +1.67°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline.

What’s driving change?

The recent warmer temperatures and increased precipitation in Armenia are influenced by and the broader trend of , as the country is largely mountainous. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with an anomaly of +0.11°C for February-April 2026, though a transition to El Niño is the most likely forecast for the coming months, with a 61% chance for May-July and a 79% chance for June-August [/climate/enso]. Armenia has also experienced several notable weather events recently. In March 2026, a flood in Kapan, Syunik Province, damaged cars due to heavy rainfall. Additionally, in November 2025, Armenia battled one of its most severe wildfire emergencies in years across multiple regions, including Gegharkunik, Tavush, Lori, Shirak, Kotayk, Aragatsotn, and Syunik.

Looking ahead

The NOAA CPC forecast indicates a strong likelihood of El Niño developing in the coming months, with a 79% chance for June-August, which typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Armenia.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

Loading climate data...

Data Sources

Data Sources for Armenia

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Armenia changing?

Armenia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Armenia come from?

Climate data for Armenia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Armenia climate data cover?

The Armenia climate profile covers Yerevan, Gyumri, Vanadzor, Vagharshapat and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Armenia

How often is the Armenia climate update refreshed?

The Armenia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.