4 Billion Years On

Afghanistan Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Kabul, Kandahar, Herat, Mazar-i-Sharif, and Kunduz

This month in numbers

Afghanistan experienced its warmest April–June period on record, with an average temperature of 20.74°C, marking an anomaly of +3.3°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This ranks as the 1st warmest in 86 years of records. June 2026 alone saw an average temperature of 23.96°C, an anomaly of +1.4°C, making it the 15th warmest June on record. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C, while the April–June period ranked as the 2nd warmest globally for land temperatures, also with an anomaly of +1°C.

What changed

The past three months (April–June 2026) have been exceptionally warm for Afghanistan, setting a new record for the warmest such period. This regional trend significantly outpaces the global land temperature anomaly for the same period, which was +1°C. Afghanistan's 3-month anomaly of +3.25°C places it 16th globally out of 234 regions for the warmest anomalies. This prolonged warmth follows a pattern of above-average temperatures seen throughout the year, with February, March, April, and May all recording positive anomalies.

What’s driving change?

The elevated temperatures in Afghanistan are being driven by a combination of factors, including the broader trend of and the influence of ENSO. A prolonged heatwave has been affecting South Asia since April 2026, with Afghanistan experiencing prolonged extreme heat, particularly in its southern regions. This heatwave is driven by strong high-pressure systems trapping hot air. Additionally, Afghanistan has been grappling with a severe and prolonged drought, with groundwater levels at record lows due to five consecutive years of drought, exacerbating the impact of high temperatures. The country has also experienced significant flash flooding across northern and north-eastern provinces since late May, affecting numerous families and resulting in fatalities. More information on extreme weather events can be found at Extreme Weather tracker.

Looking ahead

Above-average temperatures are forecast for July–September 2026, and strong El Niño conditions are expected to intensify through at least January 2027, typically bringing above-average precipitation to northern, central, and northeastern areas from October to April.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Afghanistan
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+1.4°C· 17th
23.8°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
25.4°C (2008)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+1.7°C· 16th
19.2°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
20.7°C (2025)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+2.1°C· 3rd
13.8°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
13.9°C (2021)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Afghanistan

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1957)20162025 meanWarmest (2021)2026 so far
2026Jun
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start+1 daysWet End+1 days-5°10°15°20°25°
Temp
11.7°C
+0.1 vs base
Rainfall
mm
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Afghanistan – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872021 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Afghanistan

Warmest year
2021
13.9°C
Coldest year
1957
9.8°C
2026 so far
#6/87
11.7°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen BSk · Arid

Afghanistan has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±13.5°C) and a wet/dry cycle (17× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
19 days longer
Warm season
1940–1969 baseline: 16 Apr → 21 Oct · 188 days
2016–2025 now: 2 Apr → 26 Oct · 207 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 14 days earlierAut 5 days later
Shifting wet season
1 day longer
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 13 Jan → 11 Apr · 89 days
2016–2025 now: 13 Jan → 13 Apr · 90 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 1 day laterEnd 1 day later
+4.4% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
13 Jan13 Jan
1 day later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
11 Apr13 Apr
1 day later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
MarMar
unchanged
Wet months: 65

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Nov (+9 mm, +63%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Afghanistan
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
+39 mm· 15th
409 mm
Record
570 mm (1953)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Afghanistan

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Afghanistan changing?

Afghanistan is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Afghanistan come from?

Climate data for Afghanistan comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Afghanistan climate data cover?

The Afghanistan climate profile covers Kabul, Kandahar, Herat, Mazar-i-Sharif and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Afghanistan

How often is the Afghanistan climate update refreshed?

The Afghanistan climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.